A curve with a two-year yield above a ten-year yield has an inversion at those points; it is not a precise forecast of a recession date.
Bonds & Rates
Yield curve
A comparison of yields across bonds of similar credit quality but different maturities.
Plain-English context
Put the definition to work.
An inversion's economic interpretation depends on the compared maturities and context; it does not date a recession precisely.
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